DPP followers must strictly reflect: Tell me where is the lie?
Sometimes a lie repeated becomes the truth; and the truth hidden becomes a lie. DPP followers must strictly look at this.
The hub of DPP has always been the Lhomwe belt (there is nothing wrong with that) being the districts of Phalombe, Thyolo and Mulanje. Apapa ndipa home penipeni.
These 3 districts have registered 170,000, 253,000 and 280,000 respectively. In 2019, the same area registered 169,000, 280,000 and 283,000. Summing up the three, this means that the districts have registered a total of 170+253+280=703k; while in 2019, the districts registered 169+280+283=732k.
There is therefore a reduction of almost 29,000 voters, which represents roughly a decrease of 4%. Nationally, however, registered voters increased from 6.8 million in 2019 to 7.16 Million in 2025; representing a Numerical Difference of: 7,162,217 (2025) – 6,800,000 (2019) = 362,217 (5.33%).
If one would be simplistic therefore, ceteris paribus, DPP has been disadvantaged with 9.3 % since the others have gained a 5.3 % at their base with a reciprocal decrease of 4% from an opponent (DPP). You can do a more detailed analysis.
In 2019 nullified elections, APM did extremely well getting 90.1%, 90% and 87% of the votes in the respective districts. In fact Dr Chakwera got less than 15,000 votes in all the 3 districts combined.
In 2020 fresh elections, thanks to the Tonse Alliance, Chakwera was able to get about 17.5+13.6+6=37.1k; in the 3 districts combined. In other words, although Tonse Alliance won with 59.3 %, it only got 37,000 votes in the said 3 districts (20,000 more than what it got in 2019).
Now if you are a DPP analyst, ceteris paribus, you must worry about the already decreased number of registered voters (29k), which if combined with a repeated “bad performance of 2019 of 15k” would still mean a better situation for the current government, than the 2020 results.
Further, there is something not entirely correct paraded in the Streets, that is, in 2020 DPP base had a lower voter turnout. Firstly one must understand that in 2019 the country’s voter turnout averaged 74.4 % (South was actually 75.5%); while in 2020, the turnout drastically reduced to 64.8 %. In contrast voter turnout was 76% for Phalombe, 70% for Thyolo and 69% for Mulanje. In essence the average voter turnout was far more than the average of the country.
It is therefore not correct that this base suffered a voter apathy in the fresh elections of 2020. You can analyse the figures in more detail.
Again there is something more unusual happening this year in this base:
Kabambe president of UTM comes from Thyolo.
Kondwani Nankhumwa president of PDP comes from Mulanje.
Michael Usi, president of of odya zake comes from Mulanje.
Argument and Submission
Whilst there remain many other variables; if we take the baseline of 2020, where the Tonse government only secured 35k votes at the base of DPP, DPP might see its homeyard shaken for the first time.
In the minimum, they have already lost 29k due to low turnout leaving the government with 6k to square-out. DPP cannot afford the likes of Kabambe, Nankhumwa and Odya Zake to even get 20k votes each in this base as that may actually affect its national results. Worse than all, DPP must be worry of any reduced voter turnout for any particular reason.
Ndakuwululilani mayeso anthu a ndale inu osakonda kuona mafigala, nkumangoti tiwina tiwina.
Wamva iwe Ine Ndi Nothe; Sankhani Wambewu Chimbalanga and your friends lol. Tell me where is the lie???
